BUFFALO BILLS
A perfect-10 quarterback — one of the only perfect dawg grades I gave any player — dragging a team that otherwise grades like a very respectable track club. The offense hit 98 almost entirely on his shoulders and a top-three line's. The defense is league-middle at every level, the history column is thin, and the new staff has no NFL fingerprint to read, so that grade is my flagged guess. The quarterback is a Rottweiler. The organization is still auditioning.
The Four Factors
Each factor is normalized 0–100 across the league — 100 is first, 0 is dead last — then weighted into the 54.7. Weights are the same for all 32 teams: defense 35, offense 30, history 20, coaching 15.
DEFENSE
× 35%League-middle. The unit grades below split the difference: some rooms hunt, some rooms watch.
OFFENSE
× 30%A perfect-10 quarterback with a QB weight bump, a top-three line, and honest skill grades. This column is one man's want-to, priced accordingly.
HISTORY
× 20%Mid-pack. Under a steep table and a 6-year half-life, half this league rounds toward zero; this file floats on its vibes read.
COACHING
× 15%Bottom third. Fourth-and-short is treated as a threat instead of an invitation. First-year head coach — no NFL fingerprint exists yet, so this grade is my educated guess, and I flag my guesses.
The Unit Room
The raw grades behind the factors — my dawg read on each unit group, 1 to 10, with its weight inside the defense factor and where it ranks among the 32. Defense is graded by unit group this season, not player-by-player — per-player cap-hit weighting arrives when the final 2026 cap tables settle. Said loudly on the main board, said loudly here.
The Roster Sheet
Every Bill on the frozen ADP board — the market's price next to my dawg read. The two numbers were never allowed to meet: I scored the player blind, then ADP told me how much of the offense rides on him. That firewall is the whole method. Names that link go to that player's file in the prop room; the rest don't have one yet.
| ADP | PLAYER | POS | DAWG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.8 | James Cook IIIFILE → | RB | 6.5 / 10 |
| 28.8 | Josh AllenFILE → | QB | 10.0 / 10 |
| 66.8 | DJ MooreFILE → | WR | 7.5 / 10 |
| 100.9 | Khalil Shakir | WR | 7.0 / 10 |
| 133.0 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | 5.5 / 10 |
Josh Allen (10.0/10) is the alpha grade on this sheet.
Where the Paper Rides
The season-long ledger lives on the main board and grades itself all year. Here is the Bills' part in it, breed against breed.
BILLS VS THE LADDER
| OPPONENT'S BREED | ROTTWEILER | GOLDEN RETR. | GREYHOUND | COCKER SPAN. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THE PLAY | 2 UNITS · OPPONENT | 1 UNIT · OPPONENT | NO PLAY | 1 UNIT · BUF |
Greyhound games split three ways: the paper rides against the Bills when a bigger breed shows up, rides with them against the Spaniels, and sits out the all-track-team matchups. Locked all year, graded in public. If the finesse label is wrong, the count will say so — I don't re-grade. I watch.