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Should I draft Xavier Worthy or Quentin Johnston? (PPR)
The verdict
Quentin Johnston
99%confident
Johnston scored 11.2 a game and the projection cut him to 8.4. That's not a trim, that's a mugging.
I've defended a lot of projection victims in this build. Johnston's case is the most brazen: nearly five points a game shaved off a season that actually happened, while the market underprices him four spots against our board.
Worthy's fast. Johnston produced. The mugging gets avenged. 99%.
↻ Re-roll — speed thesis, day two. Still a thesis.
Xavier Worthy WR
KC · Bye 5 · Age 23
ADP
98.4 · WR45
TwoGun Board
WR48 · #129
Dog
2 /10
Quentin Johnston WR
LAC · Bye 7 · Age 25
ADP
100.6 · WR48
TwoGun Board
WR44 · #124
Dog
3 /10
| Xavier Worthy | Quentin Johnston | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -3 rich | ▲ +4 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 6.4 | 11.2 |
| 2025 games | 14 | 13 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 133.2 | 137.3 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 8.2 | 8.4 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 71% | 77% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 2 / 10 | 3 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Wan'Dale Robinson or Xavier Worthy? · Jordan Addison or Xavier Worthy? · Xavier Worthy or Jakobi Meyers?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT