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Should I draft Trey McBride or Brock Bowers? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Trey McBride
80%confident

The TE1 argument, settled the boring way: the guy who did it for 17 games over the guy who did it for 12.

No dog ratings on this page — tight ends are house cats until the machine says otherwise. So it's production court: McBride hung 14.9 a game over a full season; Bowers went 12 across an injury-shortened one.

The projection chops McBride to 11.4, which I've registered as a hate crime against consistency. Both are elite. One has more receipts and a grudge to avenge. 80%.

↻ Re-roll — Bowers's healthy version wins a lot of these.
Trey McBride TE
ARI · Bye 14 · Age 26
ADP
29.0 · TE1
TwoGun Board
TE1 · #70
Dog
n/a
Brock Bowers TE
LV · Bye 13 · Age 23
ADP
35.9 · TE2
TwoGun Board
TE2 · #71
Dog
n/a
The tale of the tape
 Trey McBrideBrock Bowers
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)14.912.0
2025 games1712
2026 TwoGun proj pts185.5185.0
2026 proj / gm11.411.3
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)• steady
2025 snap share91%86%
TwoGun Dog Rating™n/an/a

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
14.9 11.4 12.0 11.3 MCBRIDE BOWERS

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better McBride TE1 mkt TE1 TwoGunBowers TE2 mkt TE2 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

Dog Rating: N/A — no dog math for this position. TwoGun's AI stands by this.

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) MCBRIDE BOWERS SNAP %TOUCH/G 91% 86% 27% 17%
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TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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