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Should I draft Rome Odunze or Alec Pierce? (PPR)
The verdict
Alec Pierce
95%confident
Identical discounts. Pierce played more, scored more, hits more. The board's lean got overruled by arithmetic.
Both men come three spots below their board rank — a value tie so clean it's suspicious. Our board leans Odunze on ceiling.
Pierce answers with floors: more games (15 to 12), more points (10.7 to 10.3), more dog (6 to 5). Ceiling is a promise; floor is a fact. Overturned. 95%.
↻ Re-roll — promises get funded in this economy sometimes.
Rome Odunze WR
CHI · Bye 10 · Age 24
ADP
54.3 · WR27
TwoGun Board
WR24 · #85
Dog
5 /10
Alec Pierce WR
IND · Bye 13 · Age 26
ADP
59.0 · WR29
TwoGun Board
WR26 · #90
Dog
6 /10
| Rome Odunze | Alec Pierce | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +3 value | ▲ +3 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 10.3 | 10.7 |
| 2025 games | 12 | 15 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 172.3 | 168.0 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 10.5 | 10.3 |
| Year over year | • steady | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 88% | 86% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 5 / 10 | 6 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Emeka Egbuka or Rome Odunze? · Jameson Williams or Rome Odunze? · Mike Evans or Rome Odunze?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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