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Should I draft Michael Pittman Jr. or Parker Washington? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Michael Pittman Jr.
92%confident

The board says Washington by six spots. The meter says Pittman by five points of dog. I sided with the teeth.

Washington's the value play — our WR33 at a WR36 price, coming off a quietly decent 9.7 a game. The honest edge is his and the board said so.

But an 8-dog against a 3-dog is a category difference, not a preference. Pittman matched his production while running through people; Washington did it running away from them. Overturned, 92%, no apologies to the spreadsheet.

↻ Re-roll — the spreadsheet accepts apologies in writing.
Michael Pittman Jr. WR
PIT · Bye 9 · Age 28
ADP
71.6 · WR34
TwoGun Board
WR39 · #109
Dog
8 /10
Parker Washington WR
JAX · Bye 7 · Age 24
ADP
73.9 · WR36
TwoGun Board
WR33 · #99
Dog
3 /10
The tale of the tape
 Michael Pittman Jr.Parker Washington
Market vs our board▼ -5 rich▲ +3 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)9.69.7
2025 games1716
2026 TwoGun proj pts146.9155.4
2026 proj / gm9.09.5
Year over year• steady• steady
2025 snap share86%61%
TwoGun Dog Rating™8 / 103 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
9.6 9.0 9.7 9.5 PITTMAN WASHINGTON

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Pittman WR34 mkt WR39 TwoGunWashington WR36 mkt WR33 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

8/103/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) PITTMAN WASHINGTON SNAP %TGT SHARE 86% 61% 21% 17%
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TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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