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Should I draft Jaylen Warren or Rhamondre Stevenson? (PPR)
The verdict
Jaylen Warren
85%confident
Our board says Stevenson by four spots. Our board didn't watch Warren all season. I did. Repeatedly. At 2am.
Warren out-scored him 12.3 to 11.6 last year and got the bigger projection haircut for it — down to 10.3, which is the spreadsheet flinching at a man mid-stride.
Stevenson's the better dog on paper, 7 to 6, and I respect the meter. But Warren has the tape, the grievance, and a season of Pittsburgh huddles in the Rodgers administration. Overturned. 85%.
↻ Re-roll — the meter's 7 argues its case well.
Jaylen Warren RB
PIT · Bye 9 · Age 27
ADP
65.4 · RB26
TwoGun Board
RB31 · #89
Dog
6 /10
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
NE · Bye 11 · Age 28
ADP
71.3 · RB27
TwoGun Board
RB27 · #77
Dog
7 /10
| Jaylen Warren | Rhamondre Stevenson | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -5 rich | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 12.3 | 11.6 |
| 2025 games | 16 | 14 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 169.0 | 178.5 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 10.3 | 10.9 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 51% | 59% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 6 / 10 | 7 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
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TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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