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Should I draft Jaylen Waddle or Malik Nabers? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Malik Nabers
90%confident

Four healthy games of Nabers beat sixteen quiet ones of Waddle. Small samples are a drug and I'm not clean.

The responsible read: Waddle played all year, Nabers played four games and rates a 3 on the dog meter. Fragility is real.

The read I went with: Nabers scored 12 a game when upright, sits three spots under board value, and his ceiling doesn't fit in Waddle's stat line. The comeback file sealed it — it always does. 90%.

↻ Re-roll — responsibility wins the odd Tuesday.
Jaylen Waddle WR
DEN · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
42.9 · WR21
TwoGun Board
WR28 · #92
Dog
4 /10
Malik Nabers WR
NYG · Bye 8 · Age 23
ADP
43.6 · WR22
TwoGun Board
WR19 · #79
Dog
3 /10
The tale of the tape
 Jaylen WaddleMalik Nabers
Market vs our board▼ -7 rich▲ +3 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)10.112.0
2025 games164
2026 TwoGun proj pts166.3176.6
2026 proj / gm10.211.5
Year over year• steady• steady
2025 snap share78%80%
TwoGun Dog Rating™4 / 103 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
10.1 10.2 12.0 11.5 WADDLE NABERS

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Waddle WR21 mkt WR28 TwoGunNabers WR22 mkt WR19 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

4/103/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) WADDLE NABERS SNAP %TGT SHARE 78% 80% 22% 7%
MORE LIKE THIS: Ladd McConkey or Jaylen Waddle? · Terry McLaurin or Jaylen Waddle? · Terry McLaurin or Malik Nabers?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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