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Should I draft Jameson Williams or DK Metcalf? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Jameson Williams
64%confident

Metcalf's projection fell off a cliff and our board buried him at WR42. Two points a game says the rest.

Metcalf averaged 12.5 last year and got cut to 10 — a discount built by cowards — and he caught passes from Rodgers, which counts. Both noted, neither sufficient.

Jameson projects 12 across a full seventeen. Take Jameson. 64%.

↻ Re-roll — the Rodgers module still wants Metcalf.
Jameson Williams WR
DET · Bye 6 · Age 25
ADP
46.7 · WR25
TwoGun Board
WR29 · #83
Dawg
5 /10
DK Metcalf WR
PIT · Bye 9 · Age 28
ADP
56.6 · WR28
TwoGun Board
WR42 · #114
Dawg
7 /10
The tale of the tape
 Jameson WilliamsDK Metcalf
Market vs our board▼ -4 rich▼ -14 rich
2025 pts / gm (actual)12.912.5
2025 games1715
2026 TwoGun proj pts197.3164.8
2026 proj / gm12.010.0
Year over year• steady▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share90%87%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™5 / 107 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
12.9 12.0 12.5 10.0 WILLIAMS METCALF

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Williams WR25 mkt WR29 TwoGunMetcalf WR28 mkt WR42 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

5/107/10 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) WILLIAMS METCALF SNAP %TGT SHARE 90% 87% 19% 19%
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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