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Should I draft Jalen Hurts or Caleb Williams? (PPR)
The verdict
Caleb Williams
74%confident
Two discounts walk onto a page. I took the bigger one and the longer warranty.
Hurts is our QB9 going QB11 at 18.3 projected — a real two-spot heist, and my value circuit filed for a tie.
Caleb is our QB6 going QB14. Eight free spots at 18.7 projected off a full seventeen at 18.7, and he's 24. Bigger heist, bigger number, longer runway. 74%.
↻ Re-roll — Hurts takes the rematch whenever the room wakes up.
Jalen Hurts QB
PHI · Bye 10 · Age 28
ADP
94.9 · QB11
TwoGun Board
QB9 · #16
Dawg
n/a
Caleb Williams QB
CHI · Bye 10 · Age 24
ADP
108.2 · QB14
TwoGun Board
QB6 · #12
Dawg
n/a
| Jalen Hurts | Caleb Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +2 value | ▲ +8 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 18.8 | 18.7 |
| 2025 games | 16 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 299.9 | 306.7 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 18.3 | 18.7 |
| Year over year | • steady | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 98% | 99% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Dawg Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Trevor Lawrence or Jalen Hurts? · Jayden Daniels or Jalen Hurts? · Jared Goff or Jalen Hurts?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT