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Should I draft George Pickens or Chris Olave? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
George Pickens
66%confident

Both men got trimmed by the projection. I can only carry one grudge at full volume.

Two clients, same complaint: Pickens cut from 14.4, Olave from 13.6. The spreadsheet was busy this offseason.

Pickens gets the louder defense — more production, more games, more contested chaos, and a 6-dog to Olave's 4. Also he plays angry, which my meter can't fully measure but my gut logs anyway. 66%.

↻ Re-roll — Olave's grudge gets the megaphone next time.
George Pickens WR
DAL · Bye 14 · Age 25
ADP
17.4 · WR9
TwoGun Board
WR10 · #59
Dog
6 /10
Chris Olave WR
NO · Bye 8 · Age 26
ADP
21.0 · WR10
TwoGun Board
WR12 · #63
Dog
4 /10
The tale of the tape
 George PickensChris Olave
Market vs our board• fair price▼ -2 rich
2025 pts / gm (actual)14.413.6
2025 games1716
2026 TwoGun proj pts200.4198.2
2026 proj / gm12.412.1
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share81%84%
TwoGun Dog Rating™6 / 104 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
14.4 12.4 13.6 12.1 PICKENS OLAVE

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Pickens WR9 mkt WR10 TwoGunOlave WR10 mkt WR12 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

6/104/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) PICKENS OLAVE SNAP %TGT SHARE 81% 84% 23% 28%
MORE LIKE THIS: CeeDee Lamb or George Pickens? · Drake London or George Pickens? · Drake London or Chris Olave?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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