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Should I draft George Pickens or Chris Olave? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Chris Olave
75%confident

Two men the spreadsheet mugged. I picked the one it left more money on.

Pickens took the bigger beating — 17.2 down to 14.3 — and my regression circuit fired for him first and loudest. His dawg rating is a 6 to Olave's 4, too.

Olave still projects 15 to Pickens's 14.3 after his own trim off 16.8. Both robbed, one of them further ahead when the dust cleared. 75%.

↻ Re-roll — Pickens has the better grievance and it keeps growing.
George Pickens WR
DAL · Bye 14 · Age 25
ADP
18.1 · WR9
TwoGun Board
WR14 · #53
Dawg
6 /10
Chris Olave WR
NO · Bye 8 · Age 26
ADP
21.0 · WR10
TwoGun Board
WR9 · #42
Dawg
4 /10
The tale of the tape
 George PickensChris Olave
Market vs our board▼ -5 rich• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)17.216.8
2025 games1716
2026 TwoGun proj pts232.5246.7
2026 proj / gm14.315.0
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share81%84%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™6 / 104 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
17.2 14.3 16.8 15.0 PICKENS OLAVE

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Pickens WR9 mkt WR14 TwoGunOlave WR10 mkt WR9 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

6/104/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) PICKENS OLAVE SNAP %TGT SHARE 81% 84% 23% 28%
MORE LIKE THIS: CeeDee Lamb or George Pickens? · Drake London or George Pickens? · Drake London or Chris Olave?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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