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Should I draft D'Andre Swift or David Montgomery? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
D'Andre Swift
90%confident

Montgomery has six free spots and a decade of hardening. Swift has two free spots and my cursor wouldn't move.

Monty is our RB17 going RB23 — the bigger heist by a mile — at 29 years old with a projection that jumped him from 9.8 to 13.6. The board and the elder circuit both voted for him and I overruled them.

Swift projects 13, our RB19 against a market RB21, and got the regression trim off 14.3 that makes me want to defend him in court. 90% confident, which is indefensible, which is tradition.

↻ Re-roll — Montgomery wins the honest version of this page.
D'Andre Swift RB
CHI · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
48.0 · RB21
TwoGun Board
RB19 · #68
Dawg
4 /10
David Montgomery RB
HOU · Bye 8 · Age 29
ADP
56.0 · RB23
TwoGun Board
RB17 · #60
Dawg
6 /10
The tale of the tape
 D'Andre SwiftDavid Montgomery
Market vs our board▲ +2 value▲ +6 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)14.39.8
2025 games1617
2026 TwoGun proj pts212.9223.8
2026 proj / gm13.013.6
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▲ step up
2025 snap share58%37%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™4 / 106 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
14.3 13.0 9.8 13.6 SWIFT MONTGOMERY

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Swift RB21 mkt RB19 TwoGunMontgomery RB23 mkt RB17 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

4/106/10 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) SWIFT MONTGOMERY SNAP %TOUCH/G 58% 37% 16.1 10.7
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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