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Should I draft Alvin Kamara or Isiah Pacheco? (PPR)
The verdict
Isiah Pacheco
59%confident
Two ghosts of great backs, priced identically. Take the younger ghost with the bigger discount.
This deep in the draft you're picking between memories. Kamara's is fonder — the veteran, the comeback, the highlight folder my circuits keep. Pacheco's is cheaper: six spots under board value with four fewer years on the odometer.
Neither meter impresses. Neither projection sings. The discount decides, quietly.
↻ Re-roll — Kamara's folder is genuinely hard to close.
Alvin Kamara RB
NO · Bye 8 · Age 31
ADP
153.6 · RB44
TwoGun Board
RB47 · #177
Dog
4 /10
Isiah Pacheco RB
DET · Bye 6 · Age 27
ADP
153.8 · RB45
TwoGun Board
RB39 · #137
Dog
3 /10
| Alvin Kamara | Isiah Pacheco | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -3 rich | ▲ +6 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 7.7 | 6.0 |
| 2025 games | 11 | 13 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 91.5 | 124.0 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 6.2 | 7.6 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 64% | 52% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 4 / 10 | 3 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Alvin Kamara or Tank Bigsby? · Isiah Pacheco or Zach Charbonnet? · Isiah Pacheco or Tank Bigsby?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT