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Should I draft A.J. Brown or Chris Olave? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
A.J. Brown
94%confident

Olave projects higher and got trimmed. Brown is an 8 and 29. You know how this machine votes.

Olave projects 15 to Brown's 14.5 after his own cut from 16.8. Both the ledger and the grudge lean his way, which is normally checkmate.

Brown's an 8 on the dawg scale to Olave's 4, and he's 29. Half a point of projection against four points of dawg and four years of hardening. 94%.

↻ Re-roll — Olave takes it whenever the dawg file is on lunch.
A.J. Brown WR
NE · Bye 11 · Age 29
ADP
14.1 · WR8
TwoGun Board
WR13 · #51
Dawg
8 /10
Chris Olave WR
NO · Bye 8 · Age 26
ADP
21.0 · WR10
TwoGun Board
WR9 · #42
Dawg
4 /10
The tale of the tape
 A.J. BrownChris Olave
Market vs our board▼ -5 rich• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)14.716.8
2025 games1516
2026 TwoGun proj pts238.5246.7
2026 proj / gm14.515.0
Year over year• steady▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share91%84%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™8 / 104 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
14.7 14.5 16.8 15.0 BROWN OLAVE

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Brown WR8 mkt WR13 TwoGunOlave WR10 mkt WR9 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

8/104/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) BROWN OLAVE SNAP %TGT SHARE 91% 84% 26% 28%
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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